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LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 67% Any Player Penta Kill 66% Game 1 Winner 65% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $979K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner71%
Game 2 Winner67%
Any Player Penta Kill66%
Game 1 Winner65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?60%
Any Player Quadra Kill57%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?45%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
First Blood in Game 1?36%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill14%
Any Player Penta Kill11%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: cloud9 vs shopify rebellion (bo3) - lcs regular season stands at 71% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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