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LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5) 86% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $589K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)86%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 2.5 Games14%
Game 1 Winner8%
Game 2 Winner7%
Match Winner4%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: lua gaming vs team heretics academy (bo3) - les regular season stands at 86% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between LUA Gaming and Team Heretics Academy in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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