Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets is set at Citi Field in Queens, New York, with the game originally scheduled for 7:10 PM ET on 22 June. However, the fixture has been postponed until further notice, meaning the prediction market remains open until the contest is completed[3]. The crowd-implied probability currently sits at 47% for a Cubs victory, reflecting a tight contest where the outcome hinges on the rescheduled date and potential roster adjustments.

Historically, postponed MLB games in mid-season series often see probabilities shift by 3–5% once the new date is confirmed, particularly when weather or pitcher availability changes. In comparable 2024 and 2025 cases, teams with stronger road records like the Cubs (41–35) gained slight edges after postponements, while home teams like the Mets (37–40) faced uncertainty[6]. This pattern suggests the current 47% figure may be a conservative baseline, likely to adjust upward if the Cubs retain their starting pitcher or if the Mets face fatigue from the delay.

Traders should monitor official MLB announcements for the rescheduled date, as dependencies include pitcher lineups and travel schedules. Recent reports confirm Jacob deGrom (4–6, 3.26 ERA) and Cole Hamels (6–2, 2.85 ERA) were slated for the original game, but their availability post-postponement is critical[6]. A recent update from SNY TV notes the series remains a four-game affair, implying the postponed game will be replayed within the same window[5]. Programmatically, conditional orders should trigger on confirmed pitcher announcements, with bots adjusting exposure based on real-time odds shifts from sources like SeatGeek or Marquee Sports Network[2][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.