Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
39% | 61% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
39% | 61% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| NRFI | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 8.5 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 24% YES | 77% NO |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers face the Tampa Bay Rays on 1 June at 6:40 PM ET in a regular season MLB matchup. Current implied probability of 39% for a Tigers victory reflects moderate confidence in the Rays, though the spread between these clubs has narrowed considerably through the 2026 season. Resolution hinges on official final statistics; postponements extend the settlement window to 8 June, whilst cancellations without rescheduling or tied games trigger a 50-50 split.
Historical performance between these franchises shows the Rays have maintained a slight edge in recent seasons, but home-field advantage and roster composition shifts create meaningful variance in single-game outcomes. Comparable matchups from May 2026 suggest betting markets typically price Tigers wins between 35–45% when both teams field standard lineups, making the current 39% figure consistent with baseline expectations rather than a sharp move.
Traders monitoring this market should track roster announcements through 31 May, particularly injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key position players. Weather conditions at the venue merit attention given June precipitation patterns in Florida. Recent news from MLB injury reports and team statements will clarify whether either side operates at reduced capacity. For programmatic approaches, conditional orders tied to pitcher confirmation or weather alerts offer precision; alternatively, tracking line movement across major sportsbooks provides real-time calibration against this market's probability before the 6:40 PM ET start time.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.
Methodology
This page reviews Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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