🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

Five-platform snapshot of "Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% O/U 8.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 100% Volume: $277K Liquidity: $313K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 8.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
O/U 9.574%
Spread -1.561%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
O/U 10.550%
O/U 11.550%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -3.550%
O/U 13.550%
O/U 12.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.548%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.548%
Spread -3.522%
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros13%
Spread -1.57%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to minnesota twins vs. houston astros. In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 30 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $277K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports