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MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)

Live odds for "MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Team D 51% Team A 50% Team B 50% Team C 50% Volume: $563K Liquidity: $101K Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team D51%
Team A50%
Team B50%
Team C50%
Team E50%
Other50%
New York Yankees37%
Washington Nationals17%
Los Angeles Dodgers15%
Houston Astros14%
Chicago White Sox11%
Chicago Cubs4%
Philadelphia Phillies4%
Atlanta Braves3%
Arizona Diamondbacks2%
Boston Red Sox2%
Cleveland Guardians2%
Colorado Rockies2%
Kansas City Royals2%
Miami Marlins2%
New York Mets2%
San Diego Padres2%
San Francisco Giants2%
St. Louis Cardinals2%
Tampa Bay Rays2%
Baltimore Orioles1%
Cincinnati Reds1%
Los Angeles Angels1%
Milwaukee Brewers1%
Minnesota Twins1%
Athletics1%
Pittsburgh Pirates1%
Seattle Mariners1%
Texas Rangers1%
Toronto Blue Jays1%
Detroit Tigers0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to mlb: most home runs (team). This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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