New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming Major League Baseball contest between the New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for 6:40PM ET on 23 June, presents a clear binary outcome where the Yankees win triggers a "YES" resolution. With the market currently implying a mere 3% probability for the Yankees, this pricing diverges sharply from traditional moneyline odds, which consistently favour New York at approximately -136 to -145 across major sportsbooks[1][2]. Such a discrepancy mirrors historical instances where conditional markets misprice dominant teams due to liquidity imbalances or automated bot errors, creating a utility gap for power-users who programme conditional orders to exploit these inefficiencies rather than relying on static sentiment.

A trader evaluating this tooling programmatically must monitor the starting pitcher announcements and the over/under total set at 8.5 runs, as these dependencies directly influence the game script and the likelihood of a low-scoring affair where the Tigers might steal a win[2][3]. Recent analysis from Doc Sports explicitly recommends taking Detroit at +125 alongside the under, suggesting that the market’s 3% Yankees probability may be an overreaction to short-term Tigers road struggles rather than a fundamental shift in team strength[2][5]. For a bot-driven approach, one should script alerts for any late-inning pitching changes or weather delays, as these catalysts could invalidate the current pricing and trigger a rapid reversion to the Yankees’ historical moneyline advantage.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.