Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| Charlotte FC | 0% |
| Atlanta United FC | 0% |
Market context
Charlotte FC and Atlanta United FC have just played an MLS match scheduled for Bank of America Stadium, and the market has closed with the crowd pricing **0% YES**. In practical terms, that is a stale or already-resolved signal rather than a live pre-match opinion, so any bot or copy-trading workflow should treat it as a settlement-state check first: confirm whether the contract has resolved, whether the event started, and whether the platform’s scoring source has ingested the final result before using the price in models or conditional orders. [2][5]
For comparable Charlotte–Atlanta fixtures, the market has not been one-dimensional. Earlier in 2026, Atlanta beat Charlotte 2-0 in an April league meeting, while the July 22 boxscore indicates a higher-scoring, drawn game after the market’s 2.5-goal reference point was crossed. [3][4][2] That mix matters for programmatic reading of the book: head-to-head outcomes have varied between low-scoring away wins and more open scoring environments, so a zero-priced YES should be interpreted against event status and settlement mechanics, not as a clean forecast of match quality. [3][2][4]
The main catalysts for traders are straightforward: starting line-ups, late injuries, rotation, and whether the match kicks off on schedule at the listed 00:15 UTC settlement boundary. Public preview feeds also reflected different market assumptions on totals and win pricing, which is useful for comparing implied probabilities across sources before an automated strategy fires. [4][5] If your tooling relies on rules-based execution, the key dependency is the official match completion signal, because once the event is in or past the settlement window, price discovery is no longer the relevant variable.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $317K.
Methodology
We track Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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