CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution

Platform comparison

Market context

CF Montréal faced the New England Revolution in an MLS regular-season match scheduled for 1 August 2026, and the market settles on the final result from that game. For a programme-driven trader, the key operational step is to wait for the official line-up feed and any late injury or suspension updates before automating entry, because football markets can move sharply once starting XIs are confirmed and bots can tie conditional orders to that timestamp.

The historical frame is straightforward: New England have generally had the better head-to-head record, winning 19 of 37 meetings with 14 Montréal wins and four draws, while the recent sequence has also tilted towards the Revolution. ESPN lists New England wins of 3-0 in April 2026, 3-1 in July 2025, and 3-0 in May 2025, though Montréal did beat them 3-1 in July 2025, so the rivalry has not been one-way. That mix of a stronger long-run record and occasional away volatility is why a 0% crowd-implied YES can still be treated as a placeholder rather than a settled view when the game is yet to kick off. [3][4][6][12]

The main catalysts to watch are team news, travel and scheduling density, and any late adjustment to the market’s definition of “settlement window”. AP’s preview of the April meeting noted the Revolution’s strong record against Eastern Conference sides and highlighted form players such as Carles Gil and Dor David Turgeman, which matters because user-side tooling often keys off confirmed attacking availability rather than the headline fixture alone. If either club rotates heavily, or if a goalkeeper or primary creator is ruled out after line-up publication, programmatic traders will usually re-price the event faster than manual users can react. [13][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.