Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New England Revolution (-1.5) | 0% |
| Toronto FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| New England Revolution (-2.5) | 0% |
| Toronto FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
New England Revolution and Toronto FC were scheduled to meet in MLS on 22 July at 7:30 pm ET, and the live market for “more markets” is the sort of wrapper contract that tends to be driven by in-play context rather than a single pre-match thesis. The 2.5 total on the fixture indicates the scoring environment was framed as modest, with trading on ancillary markets typically tied to line-up confirmation, early goal timing, and whether the game state forces substitutions or tactical changes that can unlock follow-on props.[4]
For comparison, the recent head-to-head reference point is a 1-1 draw at Gillette Stadium in September 2025, which is the kind of result that keeps bots from over-committing to a one-directional script when the teams have already shown a lower-event pattern against each other.[3] Sky Sports’ form page also shows the last recorded meeting as New England 0, Toronto 1, reinforcing that the matchup has produced narrow margins rather than repeated blowouts.[2] For programmatic traders, that usually means waiting for verified team news and then mapping the live feed to conditional orders rather than assuming a static pre-match edge.
The practical catalysts to watch are late squad announcements, any goalkeeper or striker changes, and whether either side is on a congested schedule that increases rotation risk, because those factors can move correlated markets faster than the headline moneyline. A bot or copy-trading setup would typically poll line-up releases, then trigger orders only if the confirmed XI shifts the expected goal profile or match tempo; if the game opens with an early goal, that is often the point where “more markets” pricing can re-rate sharply. Given the current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% YES, the market is effectively signalling no realised edge in the visible tape yet, so any positioning would have depended on a catalyst arriving during the settlement window rather than on pre-match consensus alone.[1][4]
Methodology
This page reviews New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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