Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sporting Kansas City (-1.5) | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City (-2.5) | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Kansas City 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Sporting Kansas City beat Minnesota United 2-1 on Wednesday night, so the live set-up for “more markets” now sits on a fresh result from the same fixture rather than a stale historical baseline.[1] For a programmatic trader, that matters because models that key off repeat matchups need to reweight recent scoreline, home advantage and any price reaction into the next related market, rather than treating the matchup as independent noise.[1][3]
The clearest historical comparator is the 3-3 draw between these sides in March 2025, which shows the pairing can produce both open and tighter game states rather than a single stable scoring profile.[3] Current pre-match pricing in public feeds also pointed towards a relatively modest scoring environment, with one live market listing an under-6.5 total-goals lean and a 2.5 combined-score line, which helps explain why a crowd-implied 0% YES can appear when the market is narrowly framed or dependent on a specific “more markets” trigger.[2][5]
Traders should watch for starting XIs, late injury or rotation news, and any correction to the settlement clock if the listed 8:30 PM ET kick-off slips, because those are the inputs most likely to change conditional orders or bot logic before close.[4] Programme-style approaches usually poll official team channels, match feeds and pricing updates in the hour before kick-off, then route fills only if the game state still matches the market definition at the settlement window end.[4][5]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC - More … on Polymarket Bot UK
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