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CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $73K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas (-1.5)0%
Sport Boys Association (-1.5)0%
CD Los Chankas (-2.5)0%
Sport Boys Association (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas O/U 1.50%
CD Los Chankas O/U 2.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Peru Liga 1 fixture between CD Los Chankas and Sport Boys Association took place on 19 July 2026 at Estadio Los Chankas, with kick-off at 12:00 ET. Los Chankas, sitting second in the table, entered as favourites with bookmakers implying a 51% victory chance, while Sport Boys were assigned the lowest probability of success at roughly 26% [3]. The match concluded 0–0, a result that aligns with the 0% YES probability currently implied by the crowd for this specific market outcome.

Historically, this fixture has shown defensive resilience; in the most recent Liga 1 meeting during the 2026 season’s opening date, Los Chankas secured a narrow 1–0 home win via a late Jarlin Quintero strike [4]. Comparable low-scoring Liga 1 clashes in 2025 often saw under-2.5 goals outcomes, suggesting that markets tied to high-scoring or specific goal-margin events frequently settle at 0% when the match ends in a stalemate. Programmatic traders using conditional orders would have flagged the pre-match over/under 2.5 line (o2.5 at +100, u2.5 at -140) as a hedge against such outcomes [1].

Key catalysts for similar markets include pre-match lineups, injury reports, and weather conditions at the venue, all of which can shift implied probabilities before settlement. For this game, no major pre-match announcements altered the odds significantly, and the 0–0 draw confirmed the market’s initial 0% valuation. Traders monitoring copy-trading bots or API-driven strategies would note that the lack of goal activity rendered most “more markets” propositions (e.g., exact scorelines, player goals) invalid, reinforcing the utility of automated filters that exclude low-probability events post-match [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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