Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara (-1.5) | 100% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5) | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Romania SuperLiga fixture between FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara and FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc concluded on 20 July 2026 at Michael Klein Stadium, with Corvinul securing a decisive 3–0 victory [1][2]. This result confirms the outcome of all associated “more markets” tied to the match, rendering the 100% YES crowd-implied probability accurate as the event has fully settled.
Historically, Corvinul dominates this head-to-head pairing, having won four of the last six meetings while scoring 14 goals against Csíkszereda’s six [3]. Such a pronounced record aligns with pre-match models that flagged Corvinul’s home advantage and superior attacking form, making a high-probability settlement for markets like “home win” or “over 2.5 goals” statistically consistent with past performance.
For programmatic traders, the key catalyst was the final scoreline itself, which resolved all conditional orders instantly upon match completion. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain, as the settlement window closed immediately post-game [6]. Bots monitoring SuperLiga fixtures should treat this as a closed case: the 3–0 outcome validates any strategy predicated on Corvinul’s historical dominance, and no live data feeds require further polling for this event.
Methodology
We track FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercu… on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →