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Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $170K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Aberdeen FC O/U 0.5100%
Aberdeen FC O/U 1.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Aberdeen FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Aberdeen FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Aberdeen FC (-1.5)0%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)0%
Aberdeen FC (-2.5)0%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Aberdeen FC O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.50%
Aberdeen FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Aberdeen FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Aberdeen face Heart of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership, and the **“more markets”** line is the kind of market that often resolves on whether the event exposes extra prices, derivatives, or live sub-markets rather than on the match score itself. The current **0% YES** implies the crowd is effectively treating the launch of additional tradable markets as fully absent unless the listing is expanded before the settlement window closes.

Historically, Aberdeen and Hearts have been a fairly even pairing, which matters when a market is being read programmatically because headline strength does not always translate into a clean one-sided book. Across long-run head-to-head records, Hearts lead narrowly in some databases, while Aberdeen have also had strong home results; BBC reported Aberdeen had won 10 of their last 11 home league games against Hearts before the January 2025 goalless draw, and recent meetings have included narrow wins and low-scoring draws.[4][1][5] For a bot or conditional-order workflow, that means the underlying fixture is not the signal; the signal is whether the platform has actually instantiated extra order books or market variants tied to the game.

The practical catalysts are operational: the match schedule, any pre-match market roll-outs, and whether the event page adds new selections close to kick-off. Aberdeen’s official site has previously framed the fixture as a long-running rivalry, noting it would be the 288th meeting, which is useful only insofar as it confirms a standard league match rather than a one-off cup tie with unusual settlement logic.[8] Traders watching this mechanically would poll for market creation, check for delayed listings, and confirm that any copied position or API-triggered entry is keyed to the correct market IDs before the 16:30 UTC settlement cut-off.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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