St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

St Johnstone FC and Kilmarnock FC are playing in the Scottish Premiership, and the “More markets” contract is the sort of event where the actual settlement trigger often depends on whether the exchange lists additional lines, player props, or totals before kick-off. In a programmatic setup, that means monitoring the market metadata rather than the fixture alone, because the contract can stay at 0% until the platform publishes the relevant sub-markets or confirms the event package.

Historically, this fixture has been competitive rather than one-sided. FootyStats records 38 meetings with St Johnstone winning 19, Kilmarnock 14, and 5 draws, while ESPN’s recent head-to-head list shows alternating results across the last five league meetings, including Kilmarnock wins and St Johnstone home wins[1][16]. That profile matters for reading a 0% crowd-implied probability: it usually indicates an absence of confirmed qualifying market inventory, not a judgment on the footballing balance itself. Comparable pricing on “more markets” style contracts tends to move only when the exchange actually exposes extra markets or confirms a delayed release.

The main catalysts to watch are the pre-match feed updates: official line-ups, referee assignment, weather-related schedule changes, and any late suspension or venue notice, because those are the inputs that can change whether additional markets are opened before the 13:00Z settlement cut-off. Live-score services show the match as active on 2 August 2026, so a bot or conditional-order workflow would normally poll the event status, refresh the market list, and verify whether the platform has added or removed selectable contracts before sending an order[4][19].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.