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PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5 100% PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $285K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)0%
Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)0%
PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)0%
Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Levski Sofia are hosting CS Universitatea Craiova in UEFA Champions League qualifying at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, with Sky Sports listing the tie as a 0-0 scoreline at kick-off. That matters for a “more markets” contract because programmatic traders typically key off the live match state first: if the fixture is still level, the main task is to monitor whether the market is actually price-discovering a specific derivative event, or whether it is being left at a stubby 0% because the underlying settlement condition has not yet become actionable. [1]

Comparable pre-match data suggest a tight, low-margin game rather than a one-sided setup. FootyStats’ head-to-head page shows very close xG figures for the pairing, with values clustered around 1.6–1.7, which is the sort of profile that often keeps secondary markets sensitive to a single line-up change, early goal, or late red card rather than to broad team strength alone. For bot users, that means the useful approach is to watch for order-book drift after team news and to model the market as a dependency tree: base match status first, then the specific “more markets” child event. [2]

The main catalysts are official line-ups, any in-play schedule changes, and confirmation that the UEFA qualifying tie is proceeding on the published start time and venue. Sky Sports’ live match page gives the scheduled context, so a trader running alerts or conditional orders would normally watch for the first verified team sheets, substitutions, and scoring events, because those are the triggers most likely to convert a dormant 0% read into a tradable probability update. [1]

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

We track PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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