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FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $21K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Hradec Králové (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5100%
Tromsø IL O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Team to Advance100%
Tromsø IL (-1.5)0%
FC Hradec Králové (-2.5)0%
Tromsø IL (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Tromsø IL O/U 1.50%
Tromsø IL O/U 2.50%
FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FC Hradec Králové’s second-leg meeting with Tromsø IL is scheduled for 30 July in the UEFA Europa League, and the market is currently pricing **More Markets** at a crowd-implied **100% YES**. For a power-user, that means the useful question is not whether the event exists, but whether the contract is simply reflecting that Polymarket already lists the fixture’s wider market set and the market is therefore close to mechanically resolved rather than genuinely informational[11].

Comparable pricing across bookmakers frames the signal as one of *event completion*, not game state. Hradec won the first leg 1-0, and public odds for the return leg clustered around Tromsø as a slight-to-clear favourite, with moneyline prices ranging from about 1.93 for Tromsø to 3.05 for Hradec, while ESPN listed Hradec 1-0 up on aggregate and a “Both Teams To Score” line that still leaned towards yes[5][7]. Earlier preview and odds pages also showed significant disagreement on the exact 1X2 shape, which is common in two-leg ties where the aggregate state matters more than raw team strength[1][2][4]. In a scripting context, that is the sort of spot where a bot would treat the contract as a settlement-check problem: verify that the fixture has all intended sub-markets available, then watch for any late changes rather than trying to model edge.

The catalysts to monitor are the administrative ones: official line-ups, any postponement or abandonment risk, and whether the match starts on time and completes within the settlement window ending 17:00 UTC. Because the market is about “more markets” rather than match result, the key dependency is whether the underlying fixture’s market catalogue remains intact through kickoff and settlement; live odds feeds and match pages from ESPN, Sofascore and bookmaker boards are the fastest way to detect if anything has changed operationally[5][6][16]. If you are automating this, the practical check is a timestamped status poll on the fixture plus a final pre-start scan for market availability and event status, since that is what would move the contract from effectively certain to disputed[11].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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