Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Hradec Králové | 100% |
| Tromsø IL | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Tromsø IL’s Europa League tie with FC Hradec Králové is scheduled for Romssa Arena, with a 19:00 kick-off listed for 23 July 2026.[2] The market’s **0% YES** price means the crowd is treating a home Tromsø win as effectively impossible, so a programme or bot would normally flag this as an extreme outlier rather than a routine football line.[2][5]
For context, European qualifying matches are often priced very differently from domestic fixtures because team strength, travel, venue and the two-legged format all matter, and this pairing was drawn in **Round 2** of the Europa League qualifiers.[1] When comparing a 0% market to comparable football ties, the useful check is whether the event is already settled, mislabelled, postponed, or awaiting a score update, because a near-zero implied probability is usually only rational if the market has stale data or the result has already been decided elsewhere.[1][3]
A trader watching this programmatically would focus first on match-state feeds, official line-ups and competition schedules, because those are the inputs that can force a rapid repricing near kick-off and after full-time.[2][4] The settlement window ending at 17:00 UTC on the match date makes it important to confirm whether the market is resolving on the scheduled result, a completed official result, or a cancellation/abandonment rule, since those dependency checks determine whether the 0% quote reflects genuine expectation or an operational issue.[2][4]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $205K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →