UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Market context

Louie Sutherland versus José Montanha is a heavyweight prelim on the UFC Fight Night card, and the market’s 0% YES price suggests the contract is being treated as effectively dead or unresolved by the crowd. In programmatic terms, this is a binary event that should only flip on an official UFC result, so bots that ingest markets from odds screens or scrape live trackers should also watch for settlement language: a No Contest, draw, cancellation, or postponement beyond the stated window resolves to 50-50 rather than a fighter win. [17][1]

The main historical frame is the fighters’ profiles rather than any deep head-to-head record. Sutherland’s UFC stat line is the only materially populated one in the feed: he is listed at 11-5-0 with 1.81 significant strikes landed per minute, 68% striking accuracy, 4.95 takedowns per 15 minutes, and a finish-heavy record built on eight KO/TKO wins. Montanha is a debut-level data case in the supplied sources, which makes any model heavily reliant on opponent-level priors, weight-class heuristics, and market microstructure rather than fighter-specific trend data. [17][2][16]

For traders using conditional orders or copy-trading logic, the live catalysts are straightforward: the bout being kept on the card, the official walkout order, and the UFC’s result publication after the prelim. Boxing News’ live scorecard page still showed the fight as not started during the event window, while the official UFC stats page is the cleanest post-fight settlement source if the result is posted there. In practical tooling, the safest workflow is to poll for bout status changes, then confirm the winner or any non-standard outcome before triggering execution or settlement logic. [7][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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