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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $610K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Fnatic (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Fnatic (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Fnatic (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-7.5) vs Fnatic (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Fnatic (+6.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-8.5) vs Fnatic (+8.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs Fnatic (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Fnatic (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Fnatic (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Fnatic (+4.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Etern…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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