Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% Over | 90% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% Over | 10% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 10% NRG | 90% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5) | 50% FUT Esports | 50% NRG |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) | 10% FUT Esports | 90% NRG |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 48% Over | 53% Under |
Market context
FUT Esports and NRG will compete in a best-of-three Valorant match during the VCT Masters London group stage on 10 June at 10:00 AM ET. The match represents Round 3 of group play, where both teams will be seeking to improve their standing before knockout stages. NRG enters as the favoured side, reflected in the 10% implied probability for FUT victory—a substantial underdog position that warrants examination against recent regional performance data and head-to-head records.
FUT Esports, the Brazilian representatives, have historically struggled against top-tier North American opposition in international competition. NRG's domestic dominance and consistent international showings at VCT events establish them as technical favourites. However, FUT's qualification for Masters London itself signals competitive capability; teams reaching this stage typically possess sufficient tactical flexibility and individual skill to generate upset potential. Recent VCT Americas results and any roster changes announced before 10 June will materially affect this probability, particularly regarding player form or substitutions that could shift the mechanical advantage either direction.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations and team announcements through Valorant's esports channels for any delays, format changes, or roster adjustments. The settlement window extends to 20:00 UTC on 10 June, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Programmatic monitoring of match feeds and official scoreboard updates will be essential for conditional order execution, given the tight settlement window and potential for schedule shifts common in international esports events.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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