Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs Global Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs Global Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-8.5) vs Global Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs Global Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-8.5) vs Global Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs Global Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-9.5) vs Global Esports (+9.5) | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-9.5) vs Global Esports (+9.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-10.5) vs Global Esports (+10.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-11.5) vs Global Esports (+11.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: mibr vs global esports (bo3) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between MIBR and Global Esports in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports Wor… on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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