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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5) 100% Volume: $370K Liquidity: $484K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs AG.AL International (+6.5)99%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.599%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.599%
Match Winner91%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map Handicap: AG.AL (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs AG.AL International (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between MIBR LOS and AG.AL International in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "M…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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