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Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Live odds for "Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Volume: $262K Liquidity: $344K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.580%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.563%
Match Winner55%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 2 Winner33%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Team Vitality (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Team Vitality (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Team Vitality (+8.5)1%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team vitality vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Team Vitality and NRG in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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