Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun | 100% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| O/U 170.5 | 0% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 171.5 | 0% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of dallas wings vs. connecticut sun. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 8:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $251K.
Methodology
This page reviews Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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