Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of rome: aurora zantedeschi vs martina trevisan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Zantedeschi and Martina Trevisan in the Rome, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page reviews Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →