Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani. This market refers to the tennis match between Javier Barranco Cosano and Reda Bennani in the ITF Men Gandia, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Javier …
Methodology
This page reviews ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade ITF Gandia: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Reda Bennani on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →