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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 82% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 67% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $351K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon82%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Any Player Quadra Kill55%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Game 1 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner46%
Match Winner43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)32%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Ga…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL… on Polymarket Bot UK

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