LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

JD Gaming face Anyone's Legend in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LPL Group Ascend competition, scheduled for 10 May at 7:00 AM ET. The 73% implied probability favours JD Gaming, reflecting their status as the stronger franchise in China's professional league. For programmatic traders, this market's resolution hinges on match completion by 17 May; cancellations, ties, or delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 settlement, whilst forfeits award the victory to the non-forfeiting team.

JD Gaming's recent competitive record in LPL fixtures provides the primary historical anchor for evaluating the current odds. The organisation has maintained consistent performance against mid-tier opponents, though Anyone's Legend's roster composition and recent scrim results remain less publicly documented than established teams. Comparable BO3 matchups involving clear skill differentials in the LPL typically settle within the 65–80% range for favourites, positioning this market's 73% probability within expected bounds for a team of JD Gaming's calibre against a less-established opponent.

Traders should monitor LPL official schedules for any postponements or roster changes announced before the settlement window closes. Conditional order logic should account for the seven-day delay clause: setting alerts for schedule confirmations 48 hours prior to match time reduces execution risk. Player availability updates, particularly any last-minute substitutions, can shift the probability meaningfully, though such announcements typically emerge within 24 hours of fixture time in the LPL's structured broadcast calendar.

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.