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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

26 outcomes · leader: Match Winner at 100%

50% YES 50% NO Volume: $655K 24h volume: $652K Liquidity: $423K Opened: 30 Apr 2026 Closes: 14 May 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled dat

Open live market →
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Market statistics

Total volume
$655K
24h volume
$652K
Liquidity
$423K
Open interest
$378K

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Available prediction outcomes (26)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Match Winner
Match Winner ▲ +44.5%
Vol $158K · 24h $155K
100% Trade →
#2 Game 1 Winner
Game 1 Winner ▲ +46.5%
Vol $216K · 24h $216K
100% Trade →
#3 Game 2 Winner
Game 2 Winner ▲ +46.5%
Vol $255K · 24h $255K
100% Trade →
#4 Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) ▲ +68.5%
Vol $3K · 24h $3K
100% Trade →
#5 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▲ +22.5%
Vol $562 · 24h $562
51% Trade →
#6 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▼ -14.0%
Vol $101 · 24h $101
51% Trade →
#7 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▼ -14.0%
Vol $119 · 24h $111
51% Trade →
#8 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▲ +24.2%
Vol $35
50% Trade →
#9 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▲ +21.5%
50% Trade →
#10 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▲ +24.4%
50% Trade →
#11 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills
50% Trade →
#12 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▼ -1.5%
50% Trade →
#13 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▲ +9.0%
50% Trade →
#14 First Blood in Game 1?
First Blood in Game 1? ▼ -0.5%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#15 First Blood in Game 2?
First Blood in Game 2? ▼ -0.5%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#16 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▲ +21.0%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#17 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▲ +23.0%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#18 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills ▼ -0.5%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#19 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▲ +21.0%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#20 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▲ +23.0%
Vol $100 · 24h $100
50% Trade →
#21 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▼ -2.5%
50% Trade →
#22 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▼ -0.5%
50% Trade →
#23 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills ▼ -0.5%
Liq $1
50% Trade →
#24 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▼ -1.0%
Liq $0
49% Trade →
#25 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games ▼ -47.9%
Vol $20K · 24h $20K
0% Trade →
#26 Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
Vol $1K · 24h $1K
0% Trade →

Market context

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled dat

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ewclol2026. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

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