LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

KT Rolster and T1 face off in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 28 May at 06:00 ET. The fixture represents an early-season encounter in South Korea's premier competitive league, where seeding implications remain fluid and roster adjustments from the off-season continue to influence team performance. The 44% implied probability for a KT victory reflects moderate confidence in T1's favoured status, though the margin suggests meaningful uncertainty about how both organisations' lineups will execute under competitive pressure.

Historical precedent matters here: T1 has dominated the KT matchup in recent LCK seasons, winning the majority of encounters since 2022. However, early-round fixtures often deviate from season-long patterns, particularly when teams are still calibrating their strategic reads and player synergy. Comparable BO3 markets in LCK Rounds 1–2 typically see favourites priced between 55–70%, positioning this market's 44% for the underdog as moderately bullish on KT's chances relative to historical win rates. Traders should cross-reference T1's recent scrim results and roster health status against KT's mid-season roster moves, as these factors historically shift probabilities by 5–10 percentage points in early rounds.

Key catalysts include official LCK schedule confirmations, any last-minute roster substitutions announced within 48 hours of match time, and patch-specific meta shifts that may favour one team's champion pool. Monitoring LCK's official announcements and team social channels for injury reports or coaching changes remains essential for conditional order placement. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, so delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution—a tail risk worth factoring into position sizing for algorithmic traders using this market as a hedging instrument.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.