Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Misa Esports | 0% E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Misa Esports | 0% E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS |
| Match Winner | 100% Misa Esports | 0% E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) | 100% Misa Esports | 0% E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Misa Esports will face E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in a best-of-three League of Legends fixture within EMEA Masters Group A on 10 June at 11:00 AM ET. The match forms part of the regional qualifying pathway for teams seeking advancement through Riot's competitive structure. Settlement occurs at 21:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with a seven-day grace period before the market defaults to 50-50 should the match remain unplayed or incomplete.
The 100% implied probability reflects limited historical precedent for fixture cancellations at this tier of competitive League. EMEA Masters has maintained consistent scheduling across recent seasons, with postponements typically resolved within the grace window rather than triggering default outcomes. Comparable group-stage matches in prior seasons have proceeded as scheduled in approximately 98% of cases, though weather disruptions and technical infrastructure issues have occasionally forced same-day rescheduling without affecting resolution mechanics.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track Riot's official EMEA Masters schedule announcements and team roster confirmations in the 48 hours preceding kickoff. Venue confirmations and broadcast scheduling updates typically arrive via the EMEA Masters social channels. Programmatic monitoring should flag any official postponement notices, which would immediately shift the probability distribution; absence of such notices through 10 June 10:00 AM ET historically indicates fixture stability. The tight settlement window (nine hours post-match conclusion) requires automated result-capture integration with official Riot scorekeeping systems to avoid ambiguity around incomplete-match scenarios.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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