LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the League of Legends Champions Pro (LCP) Upper bracket final on 31 May at 05:00 ET. The match is a best-of-five format, meaning the first team to win three games advances to the grand final. The 92% implied probability for Team Secret Whales reflects their standing as the favoured side, though the settlement window's tight closure at 15:00 UTC the same day creates a compressed window for match completion and result confirmation.

LCP Upper bracket finals historically favour established rosters with consistent scrim data and recent tournament performance. Team Secret Whales' positioning at this stage suggests they've cleared earlier rounds convincingly; Deep Cross Gaming's presence indicates they've overcome lower-bracket opposition or seeding advantages. Comparable regional playoffs in 2024–2025 show that 90%+ probabilities in best-of-five formats typically reflect either significant skill gaps or recent head-to-head records favouring the higher-seeded team. Traders should cross-reference LCP standings, recent patch cycles affecting champion pools, and any roster changes announced before the match window.

Key catalysts include official LCP schedule confirmations, potential fixture delays from technical issues or broadcast requirements, and last-minute roster substitutions. The seven-day grace period for delayed resolution provides some buffer, but the 15:00 UTC settlement deadline means matches running long could trigger ambiguous settlement conditions. Programmatic traders should monitor LCP's official channels and esports data feeds for fixture status updates; conditional orders tied to match start confirmations would reduce exposure to cancellation or postponement scenarios that resolve to 50-50.

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.