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Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Five-platform snapshot of "Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 3.5 100% O/U 4.5 100% Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants 0% NRFI 0% Volume: $577K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants0%
NRFI0%
Spread -1.50%
O/U 7.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
Extra Innings0%
O/U 5.50%
O/U 6.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of atlanta braves vs. san francisco giants. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for June 28 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Brave…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 3.5 at 100% for "Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants".

O/U 3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $577K.

Methodology

We track Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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