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Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 60% O/U 7.5 56% O/U 8.5 49% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.574%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
O/U 7.556%
O/U 8.549%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox46%
NRFI46%
O/U 9.538%
Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.525%
Spread -2.524%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chicago white sox vs. boston red sox stands at 74% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 5 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago Whit…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% for "Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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Related Topics

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