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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 57% NRFI 54% Volume: $234K Liquidity: $780K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.581%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.557%
NRFI54%
O/U 9.553%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.545%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals43%
Spread -1.542%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to pittsburgh pirates vs. washington nationals. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 3 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 81% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% Other 19%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $234K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals on Polymarket Bot UK

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Related Topics

Sports