Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| New York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC | 37% |
| New York City FC 2 - 1 Toronto FC | 27% |
| New York City FC 1 - 2 Toronto FC | 12% |
| New York City FC 3 - 3 Toronto FC | 10% |
| New York City FC 2 - 2 Toronto FC | 9% |
| New York City FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC | 7% |
| New York City FC 1 - 3 Toronto FC | 2% |
| New York City FC 2 - 3 Toronto FC | 1% |
| New York City FC 3 - 2 Toronto FC | 1% |
| New York City FC 0 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 1 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 1 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 2 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 2 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 3 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 3 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to new york city fc vs. toronto fc - exact score. In the upcoming MLS game between New York City FC and Toronto FC, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New York City FC vs. Toronto FC ma…
Methodology
This page reviews New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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