Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 88% |
| O/U 213.5 | 86% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 217.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 77% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 77% |
| O/U 219.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| O/U 220.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 73% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| O/U 221.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| O/U 223.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 67% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 66% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 64% |
| O/U 226.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| O/U 227.5 | 61% |
| Spread -10.5 | 60% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 60% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 60% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 60% |
| O/U 228.5 | 59% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 59% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 58% |
| O/U 229.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 230.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 55% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 54% |
| O/U 231.5 | 53% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 233.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| O/U 234.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 42% |
| O/U 236.5 | 41% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 41% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 239.5 | 36% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 36% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 33% |
| Spread -19.5 | 32% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 30% |
| O/U 242.5 | 29% |
| Spread -20.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| O/U 245.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 17% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Spurs vs. Mavericks. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is post…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $343K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Spurs vs. Mavericks on Polymarket Bot UK
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