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World Cup: Golden Glove Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "World Cup: Golden Glove Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Unai Simón 100% Mike Maignan 0% Emiliano Martínez 0% Alisson Becker 0% Volume: $408K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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World Cup: Golden Glove Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Unai Simón100%
Mike Maignan0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Alisson Becker0%
Jordan Pickford0%
Diogo Costa0%
David Raya0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Oliver Baumann0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Ederson0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Matt Freese0%
Senne Lammens0%
Joan García0%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Yassine Bounou0%
Ørjan Nyland0%
Sergio Rochet0%
Player A0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Other0%

Market context

The World Cup: Golden Glove Winner prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Glove award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by F…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade World Cup: Golden Glove Winner on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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