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UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 83% O/U 1.5 Rounds 65% O/U 2.5 Rounds 50% Fight won by KO/TKO? 48% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $108K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds83%
O/U 1.5 Rounds65%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Fight won by KO/TKO?48%
Rakic to win by KO/TKO?47%
Fight to Go the Distance?43%
Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic24%
Tybura to win by KO/TKO?8%
Fight won by submission?7%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 83% YES. This market will resolve to "Marcin Tybura" if Marcin Tybura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aleksandar Rakic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 83% for "UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 83% Other 17%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $68K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic … on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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