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UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 99% Patterson to win by KO/TKO? 99% O/U 1.5 Rounds 80% O/U 0.5 Rounds 51% Volume: $254K Liquidity: $12K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?99%
Patterson to win by KO/TKO?99%
O/U 1.5 Rounds80%
O/U 0.5 Rounds51%
Fight won by submission?3%
O/U 2.5 Rounds2%
Fight to Go the Distance?1%
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson0%
Ponzinibbio to win by KO/TKO?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 99% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Santiago Ponzinibbio" if Santiago Ponzinibbio is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 99% for "UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 99% Other 1%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $254K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patter… on Polymarket Bot UK

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