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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Dulatov to win by KO/TKO? 51% Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov 50% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $583K Liquidity: $452K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Dulatov to win by KO/TKO?51%
Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov50%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Turman to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 51% probability to ufc fight night: wellington turman vs. islam dulatov (welterweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Wellington Turman" if Wellington Turman is officially declared the winner of the fight against Islam Dulatov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 51% for "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $583K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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