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Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 71% Map 1 Winner 60% Map 2 Winner 60% Match Winner 60% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $180K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.571%
Map 1 Winner60%
Map 2 Winner60%
Match Winner60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.559%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)47%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)47%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)45%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.544%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.542%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.540%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)34%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.529%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 71% YES probability for Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Espo…

Methodology

We track Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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