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Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Volume: $165K Liquidity: $401K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: UCAM Esports Club (-2.5) vs FOKUS (+2.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: ucam esports club vs fokus (bo3) - vcl emea: stage 3 group c. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between UCAM Esports Club and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C, initially scheduled for June 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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