Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is a WNBA game scheduled for 22 June at 10:00PM ET between the Dallas Wings and the Seattle Storm, with the market resolving to the winner based on the final score including overtime. The current crowd-implied probability of 100% YES suggests the market expects the Dallas Wings to win, though this figure must be weighed against recent head-to-head volatility. Historically, these teams have played 75 games since 2005, with the Storm winning 48 and the Wings 27, yet the last three matchups show a split: the Storm won 83–77 on 3 June 2025, the Wings dominated 79–56 on 1 June 2026, and the Storm edged 79–71 in a Commissioner’s Cup game earlier this season[1][2][5]. This pattern indicates that a 100% probability is unusually rigid for a contest where both sides have demonstrated capacity to win decisively, especially given the Wings’ recent away record of 4 losses in 6 games[3].

For a power-user approaching this programmatically, the key catalysts are live score updates and any postponement notices, as the market remains open if the game is delayed but resolves 50–50 if canceled entirely. The half-time score from the current game shows the Wings leading 26–19 at the end of the first half, with the Storm outscoring them 23–14 in the second quarter, suggesting a tight contest that could shift in the final periods[4]. Traders should monitor official WNBA announcements for schedule changes and check real-time data feeds for player availability, as bench performances have been decisive in recent games—Aziaha James scored 18 off the bench in the Wings’ 79–56 victory[2]. A conditional order strategy would involve setting triggers on live score thresholds, such as a 10-point lead by either side, to adjust exposure before the settlement window closes on 23 June 2026 at 02:00:00Z.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.