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Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx

Five-platform snapshot of "Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 191.5 96% O/U 194.5 95% O/U 193.5 94% Spread -5.5 77% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $551K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 191.596%
O/U 194.595%
O/U 193.594%
Spread -5.577%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 19.571%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.554%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 22.551%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.551%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.551%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.551%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 17.550%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.550%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 7.550%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.550%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.550%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.533%
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx11%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 96% chance of indiana fever vs. minnesota lynx. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 2 at 1:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 191.5 at 96% for "Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx".

O/U 191.5 96% Other 4%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $286K.

Methodology

This page reviews Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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