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Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 86% Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 62% Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 21.5 51% Volume: $214K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match86%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 8.571%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 10.562%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 21.551%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 22.544%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set Handicap +/-1.543%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 8.542%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 1 Winner40%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Match O/U 23.540%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 2 Winner39%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic37%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 2 O/U 9.531%
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic Set 1 O/U 10.525%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon wta: ekaterina alexandrova vs iva jovic stands at 86% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iva Jovic in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reviews Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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