Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of iasi open: paula badosa vs anhelina kalinina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Anhelina Kalinina in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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