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Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Five-platform snapshot of "Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 1 O/U 8.5 68% Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo 57% Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 1 Winner 54% Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 2 Winner 53% Volume: $48K Liquidity: $376K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 1 O/U 8.568%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo57%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 1 Winner54%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 2 Winner53%
Completed Match50%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Match O/U 21.548%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Match O/U 22.542%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Total Sets: O/U 2.538%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Match O/U 23.538%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set Handicap +/-1.537%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 1 O/U 9.533%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set Handicap +/-1.527%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 2 O/U 10.526%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Set 1 O/U 10.522%

Market context

Market consensus: 68% chance of iasi open: anna bondar vs sara sorribes tormo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Sara Sorribes Tormo in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We track Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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