Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
61% | 39% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
61% | 39% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 21.5 | 61% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 Winner | 41% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 22.5 | 41% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 Winner | 39% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova | 38% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% |
Market context
The Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Sa…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova on Polymarket Bot UK
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